“The Krugman Recipe for Depression”

Amity Shlaes writes in the Wall Street Journal about the dangers of a New Deal-style spending program that emphasizes temporary job creation and other exploding-deficit stimulus packages by the next administration. Shlaes has written a well-received scholarly book about the Great Depression and the New Deal, The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great Depression. Artificially high wages and high taxes make for high unemployment, as the statistics from the 1930s show. While you may have a job, and a not badly-paying one at that, companies cannot afford to hire and may have to lay off workers. This keeps unemployment unnecessarily high. High taxes inhibit capital formation. Of course, if taxes aren’t raised, and the deficit is allowed to balloon, that raises its own serious dangers of dollar collapse and at least “real” inflation.

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